• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar

The Colton Group

Pathfinders for Growth

  • The Colton Group
  • Home
  • Services
    • Strategy Development and Execution
    • Change Management
    • Business Development
    • Product Commercialization
    • Mergers & Acquisitions
  • Nonprofit Services
    • Nonprofit Strategy and Execution
    • Change Management for Nonprofits
    • Nonprofit Program Launch & Execution
    • Nonprofit Revenue Strategies
    • Nonprofit Alliances and Mergers
  • Blog
  • About
    • Leadership Team
    • History
  • Strategic Wayfinders
  • Contact

Business Development

October 6, 2015 By Don Springer Leave a Comment

Pruning Your Business

Scissors cutting a cordStrategically, it is just as important to formulate what to stop doing as it is to formulate what to start doing. In Rita McGrath’s book, The End of Competitive Advantage, she argues for healthy disengagements of businesses.

It is a case of recognizing decline as soon as you can and appropriately disengaging from the business in a way that conserves resources and supports your strategic direction.

Signs of decline can easily be spotted and usually long enough before it creates a crisis. But as McGrath identifies, the measurements for decline are not the usual routine operational measurements. She lists the categories of declines as:

  • Diminishing Returns to Innovation – next generation innovations start to be smaller and smaller improvements in the user’s experience
  • Increasing Commoditization – alternatives start to be increasingly acceptable to potential customers
  • Diminishing Returns to Capital Employment – growth rates in certain portfolio offerings begin to perform below an acceptable target

Once a portfolio business becomes a candidate for shifting resources or divestiture, you have to act quickly to conserve the value as it declines. McGrath identifies three reasons a business should be removed from the corporate portfolio:

  • Capability-Offering is core – the offering is heading for obsolescence, but customers, suppliers, and the organization need to be transitioned to a new platform or service offering
  • Capability-Offering has value, but not for us – divest for reasonable prices
  • Capability-Offering is in decline – optimum pay for customer support while decreasing investment

Of course, to complicate each of these reasons and actions is the element of time. If there is relatively little time pressure, then the delineated approach can work in a deliberate fashion, but if time pressure exists, the response becomes more urgent. A migration becomes a divestiture, divesting for reasonable prices become bargain prices, and continuing support becomes transitional in an end-game.

To equip your business to prune in a healthy manner, McGrath recommends that you identify the warning signs of decline, create metrics to highlight the import, and once the decision for disengagement has been made, pick the appropriate approach in accordance with value to the business, the reason for decline, and the pressure of time.

Pruning your business is an important on-going strategic action for businesses who desire to build and exploit transient competitive advantages.

 

Share Button

Filed Under: Business Development, Mergers & Acquisitions, Strategy Analysis, Strategy Design, Strategy Implementation

August 18, 2015 By Don Springer Leave a Comment

Affordable Loss

graph-blueIn the early 70s, Hewlett-Packard engaged SRI International, the premier computing research group, to assess the market for an electronic scientific calculator. After a great deal of market research, SRI concluded that the product wouldn’t “sell” even though the primary alternative was a slide rule. As Peter Sims recounted the story in Little Bets, Bill Hewlett wasn’t so sure about the conclusion.

With $30 billion in sales at that time, HP’s organizational bias only considered opportunities that were going to be billion dollar businesses. Hewlett, however, had recently had a lengthy discussion about the calculators on a plane with a fellow passenger who was amazed by the product. After performing his own casual, informal research, Hewlett suggested that they build a thousand units and “see what happens”. Within five months, HP was selling one thousand units per day. Testing a thousand units was an affordable bet for HP.

Saras Sarasvathy, researcher at the Darden School of Business, University of Virginia, would characterize the approach as an “affordable loss”. She found affordable loss to be one of the operational principles used by expert entrepreneurs to launch a business in the face of the unknown. While a causal approach to a business or product launch would select optimal strategies to maximize returns, the entrepreneurial approach estimates the downside and examines what is an affordable loss to start the venture or launch the new product.

Sarasvathy calls the entrepreneurial approach the “effectual approach” since it begins with the known and moves to the unknown. The causal approach requires estimates of future sales and the risks that impact cost of capital while the effectual approach of the expert entrepreneur requires only that they know their current financial condition and a psychological assessment of their commitment in the face of a worst case scenario, i.e., their affordable loss. In the causal approach, all of the information is about things outside of the decision makers’ control while the effectual approach is about things within the decision makers’ control.

The effectual approach works for the entrepreneur or the new product manager if one is open to adapting the venture to the means-at-hand as opposed to an idea based on analysis of the future. One approach is about predicting the future and one approach is about designing the future. By choosing not to constrain themselves to a pre-conceived market, entrepreneurs and product marketers open themselves to the businesses or markets that will resonate with them, even if those markets do not exist today. Hewlett was able to test the non-existent electronic scientific calculator market by knowing and accepting his affordable loss.

 

Share Button

Filed Under: Business Development, Emerging Business, Innovation, Product Commercialization, Strategy Design

Primary Sidebar

Blog Categories

  • Board Governance
  • Business Development
  • Emerging Business
  • Growth Strategy
  • Innovation
  • Mergers & Acquisitions
  • Product Commercialization
  • Strategy Analysis
  • Strategy Design
  • Strategy Implementation

Growth Strategy

Growth Strategy

What makes a Strategy actionable?  Is Your Strategy Comprehensive?  Does … [Read More] about Growth Strategy

Recent Posts

  • Private Company Board Compensation
  • Overcoming Bad Compensation Standards
  • Can Entrepreneurship be Taught?
  • Innovation Management
  • Pruning Your Business

Copyright ©2004-2025 The Colton Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved.